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Crown Green Handicap

Brian Kearon

Team: Heswall Rbl BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

738

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

20

Matches Played

3

Wins

17

Losses

15%

Win Rate

4.3

Avg Win Margin

10.9

Avg Loss Margin

1-9

Home Record

2-8

Away Record

37%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
20 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/20/2024

Only 20 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 20 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

25 May22 Jun27 Jul10 Aug31 Aug18 Jun20 Aug-1371115

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
15%
score-0.70→contribution-0.24
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
4.3
score-0.61→contribution-0.14
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.9
score-0.48→contribution-0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
15%
score-0.70→contribution-0.07
Opponent Strength(15%)
945
score-0.77→contribution-0.12
Weighted Score-0.656
Sample Size Confidence
37%(20/33 matches)
Rating738 → shrunk 904→ adjusted 757
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)684
Recency Blend27% (20 recent matches)
Final Rating738
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

3W17L20 matches·15% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Heswall Rbl B2023–2024Division C, Division B2031715%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/20/2024Gale Formston-wrightA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/4/2024Rod WhiteH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
6/27/2024Colin TurnerH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/18/2024David CruickshankA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision C
5/30/2024Andy HeronH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
5/28/2024Michael DabbsA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
8/31/2023Kath DaviesA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
8/24/2023Matty RobertsH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
8/15/2023Stuart RaybouldA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
8/10/2023Jean ClarkH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
8/8/2023vs NestonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
8/3/2023Alan AtkinsonH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
7/27/2023Dave Jnr MotleyA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
7/20/2023David CruickshankH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
7/12/2023vs Arno TixallA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
6/22/2023Geoff McadamH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
6/15/2023Phil HellyerA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
6/8/2023Paul GriffithsH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision B
5/25/2023Robbie DeanH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision B
5/18/2023Michael DabbsA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
George ONeill Trophy4 games · 1W
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundPaul Quinlan / Adam HughesGladstone B15-7WINWON
Round of 16 RoundDave Harrison / Rob MealorBromborough Recs11-15LOSSLOST
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundClare Brady / Gill SmithOxton Cons B8-15LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJoe Landsborough / John MountfordKendal4-15LOSSLOST
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 0W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundMike CooperPt Sunlight Vill & Wks B16-21LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup1 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundRobbie DeanArno Tixall11-21LOSSWON

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
WLLLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
WLLLLWLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
David Cruickshank11250%6/18/2024
Michael Dabbs11250%5/28/2024
Gale Formston-wright101100%8/20/2024
Rod White0110%7/4/2024
Colin Turner0110%6/27/2024
Andy Heron0110%5/30/2024
Kath Davies0110%8/31/2023
Matty Roberts0110%8/24/2023
Stuart Raybould0110%8/15/2023
Jean Clark0110%8/10/2023
Biggest Win
Gale Formston-wright (+7)8/20/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Griffiths (-18)6/8/2023
Best Season
20237% · 14 matches
Worst Season
20237% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
10% → 20%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
93116 known · 4 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-40% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-1017% win rate

By Division

Division B1-13 (7%)
Division C2-4 (33%)
Division B7.1%
1W·13L·14 played
Division C33.3%
2W·4L·6 played

Debut

May 18, 2023

Latest

Aug 20, 2024

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

10.0 (20 total)

Seasons

20232024